Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes

Download or read book Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes written by Wandel, Jan Lucas and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2023-05-25 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.