Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts
Author | : Ms.Natalia T. Tamirisa |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 43 |
Release | : 2011-06-01 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781455263424 |
ISBN-13 | : 1455263427 |
Rating | : 4/5 (427 Downloads) |
Download or read book Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts written by Ms.Natalia T. Tamirisa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; (ii) if rigidities differ across countries, particularly between advanced countries and emerging markets; and (iii) how quickly forecasters incorporate news about growth in other countries into their growth forecasts, with a focus on how advanced countries‘ growth forecasts incorporate news about emerging market growth and vice versa.