Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
Author | : Nicole Branger |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 61 |
Release | : 2019 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1304306881 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Nicole Branger and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the widely documented negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and expected returns can be explained by the mean reversion of stocks' idiosyncratic volatilities. We use option-implied information to extract the mean reversion speed of IVOL in an almost model-free fashion. This allows us to identify stocks for which past IVOL is a bad proxy for expected IVOL. These stocks solely drive the negative relation, and a long--short portfolio earns a monthly risk-adjusted return of 2.74%, on average. In a horse race, the mean reversion speed is superior to prominent competing explanations of the IVOL puzzle.