Essays on International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics

Download or read book Essays on International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics written by Keyu Jin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second essay incorporates endogenous factor-proportions trade into an inter-national business cycle setting and demonstrates that the integrated framework substantially improves upon past, standard models that assume exogenously-determined structures of trade in matching key moments of the international business cycle data, resolving the "anomalies" that arise in the standard framework. An additional implication is that the type of trade rather than overall trade between countries matters: countries trading goods that are similar in factor intensity (intraindustry trade) tend to exhibit negative investment comovement while countries whose trade is characterized by more disparate factor content tend to exhibit greater investment comovement. The third essay, on a portfolio perspective of international capital flows, analyzes a useful accounting framework that breaks down the current account to two components: a portfolio reallocation effect and a portfolio growth effect. Past empirical evidence strongly supporting the growth-effect as the main driver of current account dynamics is misconceived. Its remarkable empirical success is driven by the dominance of the cross-sectional variation, which, under conditions met by the data, is generated by an accounting approximation. Finally, this chapter shows that the portfolio reallocation effect is the quantitatively dominant driving force of current account dynamics in the past data.