Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies written by Lionel Halpern and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-11-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A stylized fact of the transition process is an early profound exchange rate depreciation followed by continuing real appreciation. Absent historical reference points, it is difficult to judge whether the real appreciation is threatening competitiveness. This paper interprets the stylized facts and offers estimates of the equilibrium real exchange rate based on an international comparison of dollar wages and on a study of the dynamics of real exchange rates in several transition economies. The results suggest that the process of real appreciation is a combination of a return to equilibrium following the early overshooting and equilibrium appreciation.