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This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China’s macroeconomic development. “Trends and Cycle
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We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Secon
Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States
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Few United States government programs are as controversial as those designed to aid the poor. From tax credits to medical assistance, aid to needy families is s
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There is a small and growing literature that explores the impact of digitization in a variety of contexts, but its economic consequences, surprisingly, remain p
Inflation Expectations
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Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring t