Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contr

Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contr

This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitatio

Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribut

Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. Eliciting and An